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By Grant Cassiday
HEADLINES
And so on. So, by now, lets assume you have the facts about Apple buying NeXT. Want to take a peek at the PC pundits' positions on the purchase?
THE NAY SAYERS Forget your readers, pal. If PC Week had ever taken Apple seriously, Bill Gates wouldn't be building a $40 million dollar house. Part of the author's point, however, is that Apple is clearly going to try to get its foot back into the corporate market (good move) since it passed up BeOS in favor of NeXT. But the corporate market moves with unforgiving speed. Apple's problem for the past several years is that it has barely moved at all. If it takes another year to get a functioning OS out of Apple, who's to say what the competition will be? Billions have been invested by corporate America already in hardware and software to make their offices into fully operational Intranets. So what the information technology officers of the business world want to know is, will Apple move to make its hardware and software compatible? How long will they have to wait before they know how Apple expects to integrate its products into the workplace? What software will be available for businesses? Will it work with what they have now? Will it function on their servers? On their processors? In fact, forget all that. To what extent will the NeXT Mac OS even be compatible with System 7? In recent weeks, Apple has tried to answer some of these questions. But there are still a lot of boxes on the calendar between now and a product release. Microsoft Office 97 is now out to rave reviews, and Windows 97 and NT 5.0 are on their way. Netscape has made its intentions to move into OS development/replacement clear. The size of the established fish have made the pond small. So headlines like this (from Computerworld, Jan. 13) don't help: "Amelio vague on details of future operating system." It was on article on Amelio's address to the MacWorld conference, an address that lasted three hours and left some trying to remember if he discussed anything they needed to hear. Many of the corporate customers in attendance declared that they were confused but still (bless them) willing to wait. But Computerworld attributes to returned Apple co-founder Steve Jobs the admission that they "won't wait forever." In the same issue, there were two articles outlining Apple's bleak financial picture as profits took another dive during the last quarter. There was even an article explaining that there are just a few more grains of sand left in OpenDoc's hour glass. Also in that issue of Computerworld was a commentary on the situation by columnist David Coursey. It's well worth the read for some of Coursey's witty one-liners. O.K., here's one of them: "(Apple gave) Next a graceful exit from its swamp -- what else can be said about a company that's a decade old, is breaking even at $50 million and has a worldwide total of 245 customers...." Coursey concedes that Apple passed up Be's consumer market potential to take aim at the corporate world. But what he wants to know is if the corporate world will care. There are already more players than economical options. If Apple makes a NeXT OS for Intel chips (as they have said they will do), will people already devoted to Intel hardware be the least bit interested in purging the Windows from their corporate houses? He summarizes: "So, dear reader, Apple wants to be your computer company. What are you going to say?" Oh, and Computerworld had one last parting shot for the MacWorld Expo speech: "Apple Chairman and CEO Gil Amelio's butt-numbing three-hour keynote at Macworld proved that holding several patents hardly makes you a charismatic speaker. 'Mama mia, that was too long,' exclaimed Apple Executive Vice President Marco Landi.'" Inter@ctive Week announced that industry analysts think that the mid-1998 target for the new Apple OS "could mean the end for Apple." There was some good news however! "...investors should not sell their stock, because Apple could be ripe for a hostile takeover by a foreign company." Gee! That makes all the difference. Communications Week quotes one observer saying "(NeXT is) no magic bullet for Apple." The magazine also alludes to the disturbingly important role Microsoft will play in the success of Apple's next OS. Microsoft is still the number one maker of Macintosh applications. But what if Bill's software writing drones just don't feel up to the challenge of writing programs for the new system the day it comes up in their department meeting? Apple's Ellen Hancock (chief technical officer) says: "We believe that getting Microsoft support is very valuable, and we are going to work with them to make sure we get (it)." I hope I didn't lead you to believe we were done visiting with PC Week. They were, after all, just bursting with all sorts of things to say about the situation in Mac land. Helping to generate momentum for the MacWorld Expo hype, the front page of the publication's January 6 issue opened with "Never has so much been riding upon one Macworld Expo. (It) has become almost a make-or-break event for Apple Computer Inc." So it was fitting that the final page of the January 13 issue should close with the headline "Macworld Isn't Such a Cool Stop Anymore." Columnist Eric Lundquist speculates that the Expo used to be a required stop for the powers that be in the PC industry to see where the industry was headed. Apple was always charging ahead, showing the world the future that Microsoft and everyone else would rewrite, copy, and sell as their own. But now, with the declared focus to merge Mac OS with a ten-year-old NeXT OS, Apple looks to be suddenly only dreaming of catching up. Lundquist adds, "...if there were folks who thought it was going to be a really great idea to spend the next 18 months welding Mac OS and NextStep together, I didn't run into them." The sentiment is echoed in the same issue 90 pages earlier in the editorial section. "From where we sit, though, Apple's adoption of NeXT seems to be a step backward for what was once a technology and industry leader. And we're confused...."
THE OPTIMISTS In the magazine's January 6th issue, an article opens with "Apple's first battle in making its acquisition of Next Software a success already seems to be won, judging from the praise software developers have given the deal so far." True, the next sentence does read, "But the devil is in the details, few of which Apple has released to this point." However, Infoworld describes a software community that can't wait to get its hands on the more stable environment they see coming. Also praised is Apple's efforts to recruit the support of various computer software giants. Microsoft is again named most-important-player in the coming software saga. And Infoworld was the first publication I came across that addressed the future of OpenDoc's place in Apple Inc., stating the Apple had "reiterated its commitment to OpenDoc."
Page 2 Infoworld columnist Michael Vizard muses upon the unspeakable in his January 6 column: with the new merger of NeXT and Apple, "will Windows operating system soon be obsolete?" Actually, the question would have been more valid if Apple had gone with Be. One reason Be is so attractive is that it is a new operating system made to run on today's hardware. Not a new version of an old operating system made to run on 1985's hardware. Mac OS 7.x and Windows 97 are simply layer on top of code-heavy layer of programming where all future improvements must be added like new pavement to the underlying legacy code. This leads to the enormously bulky, RAM-demanding, processor-speed hogging software applications that Microsoft is famous for today. (Microsoft Office 97 weighs in at a whopping 180 megabytes after a full install on a Wintel machine.) Dumping all that legacy code once and for all, despite the financial smack in the face it would be to the home and corporate users who have invested so much money in these systems, would lead to vastly improved hardware and software performance. That was part of the thinking behind last month's Amelio quote on
The cheerleading from
THE NEXT RIVALRY?
MORE NEWS ON THE KINDER, GENTLER MICROSOFT PC Week picks up this Beauty and the Beast story. Although they disagree with Infoworld on the actual number of people who will be working in the new Microsoft Mac department, they do reveal that Microsoft will take it upon itself to make ActiveX controls work in Macintosh OpenDoc containers, a remarkably hopeful piece of news that could foreshadow good things for the Windows version of OpenDoc.
RAISING THE BAR
DEFENDING MR. COATES So I'd like to take this chance to point out at least one piece of good news to emerge from this: apparently Mr. Kawasaki reads Coates' work. That's great. He has an excellent column and Guy should read it more often.
MacToids
Grant Cassiday (GBCassiday@aol.com)
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